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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+7.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+3.02vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.55+0.87vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07-1.65vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.37-0.49vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52+1.49vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.75-0.37vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-0.60vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+1.48vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57+1.21vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.99-1.70vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-3.15vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.69vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.80+0.34vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-6.40vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.21-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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4.33Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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4.35Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.63Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.48Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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12.31St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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16.34Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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13.8Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.0% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 10.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 56.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.