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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.75+7.82vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+2.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.27vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.92vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+6.38vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.72+5.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.22vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.37-2.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09+0.27vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.33-5.14vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-2.66vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-4.68vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.99-3.47vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.80+0.32vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.21-2.86vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.76-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Tulane University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.41Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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4.29Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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12.38St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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12.39Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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6.4Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.53Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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16.32Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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14.14Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Hanes | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 58.3% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 17.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.