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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+3.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.33+3.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.92vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+2.25vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+3.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.62+2.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.18vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99+2.47vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.58vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72+1.51vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.75-3.08vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.37-6.61vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.09-3.16vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.21-1.01vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.28-5.48vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-4.64vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University-0.80-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Boston College3.070.2%1st Place
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4.3Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.75Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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7.25Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.53Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.47Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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12.58St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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12.51Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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6.39Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.84University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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13.99Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.280.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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16.21Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.1% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 6.6% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Niah Ford | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 20.4% | 16.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 5.3% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 16.6% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.