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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+8.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+4.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.46+4.86vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.65+7.12vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+4.81vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.18+3.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.08vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.39-3.77vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26+3.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.75-3.08vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.04-0.99vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.55-4.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.99vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-2.20vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.47-6.99vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.06-6.27vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.69-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.08Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.86Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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12.12North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.23Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.88George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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7.92Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.01College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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12.8Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.470.0%1st Place
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10.73Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 14.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 29.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.