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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+9.87vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.42vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+9.54vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+1.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.03+5.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.18+3.06vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.75-0.36vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-1.63vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-0.43vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-1.96vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-3.69vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.46-4.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.96vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.55-6.55vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.06-5.28vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.49-3.96vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.26-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.87College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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5.42Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.54North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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7.64Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.57Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.31Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.72Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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13.04Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.54George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% |
| Bridget Green | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.