← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+9.50vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.69+6.10vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.39+2.48vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.75+3.65vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.55+3.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.13vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.47+1.88vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.23-2.16vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.04+1.68vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.37-0.45vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.75vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.06-1.03vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.65-0.91vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.82-6.84vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College1.49-2.20vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.26-2.22vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University2.03-6.10vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.46-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.1Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
5.48Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.65Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.49Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
10.13University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
-
8.88Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
10.68College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
9.55Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
9.25U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
10.97Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
-
12.09North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.16Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
12.8Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
13.78George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.9Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.73Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Bridget Green | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 27.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.