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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+7.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+5.62vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+9.54vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+4.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+5.16vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.12vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55+1.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75-1.39vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.39-4.48vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.37-1.53vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.04-0.93vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.46-4.21vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.23-8.30vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-2.19vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-5.18vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-3.14vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.06-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.18Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.54North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.77Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.61Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.52Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.47Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.07College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.7Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.81Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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13.86George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 13.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 29.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.