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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+4.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.59+6.06vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+3.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+2.32vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.02+1.12vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.48+5.85vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.57+2.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.84-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05+0.84vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.97-0.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-3.61vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.37vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-3.28vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-2.94vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.42-6.39vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09College of Charleston2.3814.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University1.596.6%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University1.837.9%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.2210.6%1st Place
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6.12Tulane University2.0210.2%1st Place
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11.85Maine Maritime Academy0.482.6%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University1.575.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University1.846.3%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island1.053.5%1st Place
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9.32Boston University0.975.2%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.5%1st Place
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8.63Northeastern University1.225.4%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University0.464.2%1st Place
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11.06SUNY Maritime College0.722.2%1st Place
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8.61Fordham University1.425.8%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachary York | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 26.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Olin Guck | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Jack Derry | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.