← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.16+2.54vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University3.15+0.61vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.29+1.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.68-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.56-1.23vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.00-3.13vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-2.51vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.43-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.54Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
-
3.61Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
-
5.27Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
-
4.55University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
-
4.77Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
-
3.87Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
-
5.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
-
4.9Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 19.2% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 18.5% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Remeika | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 21.4% |
| Michael Sturges | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 15.9% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| William Simon | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 26.6% |
| Martin McDonald | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.