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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+8.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+7.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+4.60vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+6.56vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39+0.33vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+4.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.09vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.28vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26+4.74vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-0.80vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-5.03vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65+0.60vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.18-3.03vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-5.74vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.69-7.09vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.51-3.13vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.06-6.27vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.75-10.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University2.470.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.56College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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5.33Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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13.74George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.2Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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8.26Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.91Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.87Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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10.73Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 26.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 15.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 19.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.