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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.47vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+7.55vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+7.32vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+1.88vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+3.47vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75+1.74vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47+1.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.04vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.34vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-0.81vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-0.12vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-3.69vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-2.53vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.82-6.85vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-1.35vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.65-3.68vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.06-6.23vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.51-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.55Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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9.19Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.31Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.47College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.15Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.65George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.32North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.77Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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12.62Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% |
| Bridget Green | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 26.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 15.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.