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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+9.52vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+6.20vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+5.84vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+6.50vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.11vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+5.87vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-2.16vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.37+0.31vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-0.78vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.04-0.16vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26+2.00vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.65-0.89vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.75-6.57vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.91-7.96vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.47-7.08vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-6.12vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.40-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.5Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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5.36Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.11University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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12.87Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.31Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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9.22Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.84College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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14.0George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.11North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.43Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Bridget Green | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.6% | 15.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 32.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.