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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+6.19vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+4.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.10vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.37+3.31vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.49+5.87vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-0.14vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04+1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.39vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.91-3.72vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.31vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.26+0.52vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.06-3.66vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.65-2.75vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.75-8.27vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-6.10vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.55-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.19Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.31Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.87Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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7.86Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.73College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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13.52George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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12.25North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.73Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.9Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.37Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 27.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.