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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+6.18vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+3.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+3.57vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+6.89vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+5.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06+2.60vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.03+1.78vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-2.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-1.41vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-4.24vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.91-7.14vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.37-5.70vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.26-2.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.65vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.04-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.49Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.18Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.94Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.57Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.89Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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12.29North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.6Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.78Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.3Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.82George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.54College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 18.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 12.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 27.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.