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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.19vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+8.92vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+5.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+3.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+3.86vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-0.66vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+3.74vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.37+1.25vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-1.63vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.49+3.07vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.55-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.18-1.50vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-2.40vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.65-2.04vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-1.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.40-6.74vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.46-7.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.19Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.21Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.74College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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9.25Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.37Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.07Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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8.77Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.96North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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13.69George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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9.1Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 20.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 27.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.