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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+8.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+6.76vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+4.25vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+1.88vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18+4.17vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+3.76vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+5.60vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65+3.33vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.04+0.94vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-0.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.46-2.67vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.39-7.74vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.82-6.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.86vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.37-6.63vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.49-3.98vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Harvard University2.470.0%1st Place
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8.76Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.25Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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13.6George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.33North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.94College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.33Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.16Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.37Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.02Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 27.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.