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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.46+8.14vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.49+11.15vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.04+7.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+1.92vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+4.26vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69+1.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47+1.90vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55+0.48vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06+1.62vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.18-0.79vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65+0.64vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.39-7.71vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-7.18vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-4.34vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.57vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.82-9.50vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.26-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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13.15Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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10.99College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.26Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.99Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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12.64North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.29Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.66Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.55George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 19.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.