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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+6.38vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+6.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+2.52vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+4.54vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.91+2.10vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04+4.75vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+5.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.23-2.13vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.46-0.05vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26+3.95vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-1.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.43vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.49-0.20vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.13vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.37-5.68vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.06-5.22vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.49vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.03-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.52Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.75College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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12.28North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.87Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.95Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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13.95George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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12.8Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Green | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.7% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 13.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 30.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.8% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.