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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+7.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+4.27vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+3.05vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.95vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+4.81vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.35vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+5.60vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-0.45vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-0.77vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.63vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.39-6.32vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-2.51vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.37-4.92vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-4.28vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.76vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.65-4.53vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.49-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.95Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.81Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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13.6George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.55Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.68Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.08Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.72College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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12.47North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.79Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Emma Cowles | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 28.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.