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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+4.12vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.22+6.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+3.95vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+1.98vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.57+4.42vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84+1.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-0.75vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.42+0.66vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-1.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.16vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.72-0.01vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.48-0.15vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.97-3.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-4.41vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-5.19vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.59-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12College of Charleston2.3815.0%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.838.2%1st Place
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5.98Tulane University2.0210.4%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University1.574.4%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University1.846.8%1st Place
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6.25Brown University2.2210.6%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University1.424.7%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.0%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.4%1st Place
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10.99SUNY Maritime College0.722.8%1st Place
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11.85Maine Maritime Academy0.482.2%1st Place
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9.5Boston University0.974.8%1st Place
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9.59Salve Regina University0.463.5%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island1.054.6%1st Place
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8.14Yale University1.595.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Mason Stang | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Jack Derry | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 16.7% |
| Zachary York | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 24.4% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Olin Guck | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.