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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Yale University3.16+1.53vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.15+0.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.29+1.27vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.56-1.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.68-3.42vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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3.63Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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5.27Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.77Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.75Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urska Kosir | 18.8% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 18.0% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Remeika | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 20.6% |
| Martin McDonald | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| Timothy Harding | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.9% |
| William Simon | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 25.3% |
| Michael Sturges | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 17.9% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.