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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+5.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.46+7.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.35vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+3.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+3.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91+1.02vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.37+2.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06+2.46vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+1.31vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03+0.93vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-2.00vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.26+1.95vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-2.52vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.92-7.23vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.49-2.22vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.99-9.16vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.65-4.61vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.18-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.85Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.25Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.95George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.48College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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6.77Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.78Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.84Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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12.39North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 31.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 17.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.