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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+7.73vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+8.57vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.26+10.90vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.18+5.95vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+1.98vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+0.71vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.69+0.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.05vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-2.02vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-0.86vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.37-1.57vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-0.88vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-2.47vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.49-1.47vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.23-9.25vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.65-3.68vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.46-7.93vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.06-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.73Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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13.9George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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6.98Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.71Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.89Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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6.98Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.53College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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12.53Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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5.75Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.32North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 28.6% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 17.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.