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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+7.86vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.37+7.28vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+5.87vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.99+2.57vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.66vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.91+0.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.95vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.03+2.33vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-3.37vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26+3.62vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-4.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.59vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-2.75vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.46vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.51-2.54vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.95-1.51vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.55-8.49vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University1.65-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.28Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.57Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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7.66Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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5.63Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.62George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.92Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.25College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Pennsylvania2.180.0%1st Place
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12.46Bowdoin College1.510.0%1st Place
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14.49Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.78North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.8% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 23.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Torrey Chisari | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Rebecca Schill | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 11.6% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 35.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.