← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.29+7.73vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.12+3.49vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.32+5.55vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.07+1.55vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.11+0.39vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.92vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston1.75+3.67vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.29vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.30-0.62vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.22+2.93vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University1.75-0.18vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.52-0.07vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.37-4.95vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.55-6.80vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.46-3.20vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.10vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University0.74-2.55vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College2.13-9.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.73Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
5.49Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
8.55Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.55Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
5.39Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
-
9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
-
10.67College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
8.38Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
12.93George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
10.82Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
-
11.93Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.05Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
7.2Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
11.8North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
12.9U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
-
14.45Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
-
8.94Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Grace Squires | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 7.8% |
| Ava Farley | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 32.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.