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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.07+4.76vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+6.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+5.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.81vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+0.35vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-0.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.19+5.82vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13+1.02vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-1.62vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.46vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.75-0.95vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-1.57vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.46-2.49vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-6.72vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.74-1.56vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.75-6.17vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.22-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.76Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.39Georgetown University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.72Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.41Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.05College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.43Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.51North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.28Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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14.44Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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10.83Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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12.55George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.2% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Grace Squires | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 33.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.