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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.30+7.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+3.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.55+4.61vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+1.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.19+7.74vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+2.53vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+4.66vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.75+2.59vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.75+1.66vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.11-4.37vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-0.84vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22+1.02vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.37-4.97vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.74+0.06vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.06-5.67vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.46-4.04vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.13-7.78vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.32-9.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.47Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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8.53Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.66Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.59Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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10.66College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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5.63Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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13.02George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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14.06Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.96North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 14.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 18.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 29.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.