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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+4.57vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+7.67vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.75+7.96vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.32+4.28vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+0.50vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-0.66vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30+1.40vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.46+3.74vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-1.66vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.29-1.24vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-1.76vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.73vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-2.51vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.37-6.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.17vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.52-4.35vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.74-2.54vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.22-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.96Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.28Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.74North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.34Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.76Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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10.49College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.93Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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14.46Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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12.56George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% |
| Sarah Young | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ava Farley | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 33.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.