← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.06+8.82vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.55+5.74vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.29+5.89vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.13+5.14vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.07+0.57vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.75+4.83vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.11-1.48vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.32+0.40vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.06vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.22+3.14vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.46+1.17vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.12-6.24vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.52-1.38vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.50-2.45vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.30-6.53vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University1.75-5.09vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.37-8.55vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy1.19-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.82University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.74Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.89Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.14Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.57Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
10.83College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.52Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
-
8.4Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
-
13.14George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
12.17North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
5.76Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
11.62Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
11.55Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.47Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.91Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
-
8.45Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
12.95U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Young | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 14.2% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 19.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.