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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+7.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.19+11.38vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.06+6.92vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+8.74vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+0.49vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.20vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.13+2.33vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.37+0.23vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.75+1.90vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.56-2.20vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-5.20vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-2.94vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-2.26vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-6.57vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.50-3.15vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.11-10.39vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.46-4.78vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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13.38U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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12.74George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.49Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.9Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.8Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.06Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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10.74College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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11.85Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.61Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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12.22North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Ava Farley | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 20.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 18.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.3% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Young | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.