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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+3.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.16+1.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+1.77vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00-0.06vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.29+0.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.68-2.42vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.15-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.61Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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4.77Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.94Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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5.28Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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5.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.49Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin McDonald | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.7% |
| Urska Kosir | 18.2% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 14.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Christopher Remeika | 6.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 20.9% |
| William Simon | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 25.5% |
| Michael Sturges | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 21.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.