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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+4.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.65vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+3.78vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+5.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.84+2.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+0.38vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+2.76vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.02-1.83vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59-1.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-0.35vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.42-2.47vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.97-2.51vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.33vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.05vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.24vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38College of Charleston2.3813.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.0%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University1.839.0%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University1.574.5%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University1.847.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University2.229.4%1st Place
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9.76Salve Regina University0.463.2%1st Place
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6.17Tulane University2.0210.2%1st Place
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7.88Yale University1.596.4%1st Place
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9.65University of Rhode Island1.055.0%1st Place
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8.53Fordham University1.425.5%1st Place
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9.49Boston University0.975.1%1st Place
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8.67Northeastern University1.225.5%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Maritime College0.722.6%1st Place
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11.76Maine Maritime Academy0.481.9%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Mason Stang | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Olin Guck | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.8% |
| Zachary York | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 25.8% |
| Jack Derry | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.