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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+6.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+3.66vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.75+8.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+4.60vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+0.67vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+4.21vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.50+3.83vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-3.61vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-2.14vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.34-2.45vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.37-3.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.13-3.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.24vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.46-2.90vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.75-5.04vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.22-3.92vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.25Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.6Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.86Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.7Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.2Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.76U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.1North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.96College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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13.08George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.2% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 17.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% |
| Grace Squires | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.