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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.68vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+10.35vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+8.68vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+1.63vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.52+6.67vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-0.41vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.75+3.82vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.13+1.18vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.19+3.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.50+0.96vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.29-2.96vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-4.68vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-6.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.99vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.37-7.59vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.22-3.92vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.35North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.68College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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5.63Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.59Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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10.82Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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13.26U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.96Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.32Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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13.08George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ava Farley | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 19.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 18.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.