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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+7.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+3.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+2.61vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+5.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+6.31vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37+2.32vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33+1.46vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-2.45vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-0.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.38vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.75-0.03vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.56-4.18vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.06-3.58vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-2.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-1.98vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.22-2.98vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.46-4.90vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.50-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.61Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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11.31College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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8.32Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.55Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.3Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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10.97Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.46Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.02U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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13.02George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.1North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.65Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 12.8% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% |
| Ava Farley | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 19.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.