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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.62vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+6.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+8.74vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+7.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+0.59vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-0.52vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.34+1.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+0.52vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.03vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.75+1.05vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.37-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-2.07vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.46-1.18vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.56-6.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-3.32vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.22-3.06vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.13-7.56vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.19-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College2.330.0%1st Place
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11.74College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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11.61Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.59Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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5.48Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.36Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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11.05Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.82North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.94George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.87U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 19.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.