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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+4.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+6.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.50vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.07+1.50vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+6.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.19+7.03vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.75+3.79vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-0.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.00vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.13-0.49vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.33-2.46vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46+0.32vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.52-1.40vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.88-4.13vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.50-3.28vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.34-7.64vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.29-8.33vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.22-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University2.370.0%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.5Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.3College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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13.03U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.79Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.51Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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12.32North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.6Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.87University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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11.72Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.36Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.67Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.72George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 11.0% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Ava Farley | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 20.6% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 15.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.