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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+4.68vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+3.64vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+8.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+0.37vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37+2.18vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.50+4.73vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33+0.26vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.13+0.15vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.75+1.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19+2.10vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-3.18vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.46-1.15vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-1.46vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.34-6.68vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.29-7.42vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.38vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.60-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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11.97Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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5.37Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.18Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.73Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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11.07Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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13.1U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.85North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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12.54George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.32Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.58Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.62University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.23College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.6% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 22.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 17.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.