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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.13+8.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.19+11.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+2.66vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+8.58vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37+3.13vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32+2.43vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.60+4.40vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.93vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.29vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-5.47vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-3.17vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.11-7.64vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.33-5.94vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.50-3.26vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.46-3.93vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.75-6.07vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.52-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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13.27U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.66Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.58George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.43Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.4College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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9.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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5.53Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.36Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.06Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.74Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.07North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.93Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.5Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Ava Farley | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 18.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 16.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.0% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.