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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+6.69vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.32+6.55vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+6.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+6.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+0.31vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+2.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.11-1.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.07-2.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.86vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+1.89vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.46+1.02vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.37-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.06-3.74vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-1.55vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.12vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.75-5.30vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.50-5.25vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.60-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.36Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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10.64Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.31Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.4Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.43Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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12.02North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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12.45George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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10.7Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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11.13College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.8% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 15.4% |
| Ava Farley | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 18.1% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.