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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+9.89vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11+3.52vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.56+4.59vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37+4.00vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+0.45vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+6.75vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.52+4.52vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33+0.17vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-3.73vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.17vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60+0.37vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46+0.16vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.50-1.55vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.06-4.94vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-6.71vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.13-6.83vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.57-5.47vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.19-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.89Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.52Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.59Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.75George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.52Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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11.37College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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12.16North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.45Roger Williams University1.500.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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11.53Tulane University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 18.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Spearman | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.