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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+8.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.74+12.50vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+2.53vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+4.87vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+3.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.11-0.69vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+5.51vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12-2.76vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-1.80vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.60+1.35vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.37-2.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.41vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.46-2.58vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-6.90vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.73-5.27vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.52-5.44vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.75-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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14.5Roger Williams University0.740.0%1st Place
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5.53Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.130.0%1st Place
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8.1Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.31Stanford University3.110.1%1st Place
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12.51George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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11.35College of Charleston1.600.0%1st Place
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8.17Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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12.59U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.42North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.1Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.73Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.56Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.3Tulane University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 33.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.4% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 13.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.