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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Roger Williams University3.15+1.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.16+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.68+0.54vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+0.01vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00-2.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.55vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.29-2.67vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.56-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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3.58Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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4.54University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.93Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.63Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 19.8% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Urska Kosir | 19.6% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| Michael Sturges | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.4% |
| Martin McDonald | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 14.6% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| William Simon | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 25.6% |
| Christopher Remeika | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 23.5% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.