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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+5.01vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.04+4.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+4.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.83+2.80vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.48+6.42vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.38-1.07vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.22+1.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05+0.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.84-2.84vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.42-2.55vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-4.52vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-3.72vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.10-2.47vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.57-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Brown University2.2210.5%1st Place
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6.11Tulane University2.0410.2%1st Place
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7.85Yale University1.596.0%1st Place
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6.8Tufts University1.837.8%1st Place
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11.42Maine Maritime Academy0.482.6%1st Place
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4.93College of Charleston2.3815.4%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.7%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island1.053.8%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University1.847.6%1st Place
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8.45Fordham University1.425.7%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.1%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University0.464.5%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Maritime College0.723.1%1st Place
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12.53Boston University0.101.8%1st Place
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9.23Old Dominion University1.574.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mathias Reimer | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Zachary York | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 18.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.4% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Jack Derry | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Olin Guck | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 31.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.