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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+6.19vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+6.16vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.30-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+3.85vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-0.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-0.66vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60+0.42vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+2.45vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.05-0.83vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.71+0.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-1.43vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.70-1.86vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-5.75vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.97-5.60vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.03-3.63vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.2%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.104.8%1st Place
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2.95Stanford University3.3029.9%1st Place
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6.46University of Pennsylvania1.778.1%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.104.9%1st Place
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5.75Cornell University2.389.4%1st Place
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6.34Boston College2.098.5%1st Place
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8.42University of South Florida1.604.3%1st Place
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11.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.911.9%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College1.514.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Hawaii1.053.4%1st Place
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12.64Fordham University0.712.2%1st Place
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11.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Wisconsin0.702.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University0.973.0%1st Place
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13.37North Carolina State University-0.031.4%1st Place
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16.52University of Texas-1.430.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 29.9% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 6.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 5.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Annika Milstien | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 11.3% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.