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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.68+1.55vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00-0.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-0.22vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.43-0.99vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.57vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.29-2.69vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.16-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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4.55University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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3.91Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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4.78Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.48Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 18.3% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Michael Sturges | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 10.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 16.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Timothy Harding | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 13.3% |
| Martin McDonald | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% |
| William Simon | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 25.7% |
| Christopher Remeika | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 23.5% |
| Urska Kosir | 20.2% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.