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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+5.06vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.04+4.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.83+3.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.05+5.48vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.38+0.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84+1.36vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+1.05vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.42+0.40vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58-1.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.26vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.72vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-3.49vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.57-3.99vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.72-3.28vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.48-3.33vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.10-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Brown University2.2210.8%1st Place
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6.23Tulane University2.0410.4%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University1.8310.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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5.02College of Charleston2.3813.2%1st Place
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7.36Roger Williams University1.848.1%1st Place
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8.05Yale University1.595.5%1st Place
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8.4Fordham University1.425.2%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.587.2%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.8%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University0.465.0%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University1.226.1%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University1.574.7%1st Place
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10.72SUNY Maritime College0.722.7%1st Place
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11.67Maine Maritime Academy0.482.1%1st Place
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12.46Boston University0.101.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Robert Ulmer | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Derry | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
| Zachary York | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 21.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.