← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.23+5.28vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+5.17vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.35vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.54+1.00vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.91+2.23vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.99+0.98vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.79+0.69vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University2.51+0.75vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.50-0.14vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami2.66-1.50vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+0.97vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida1.27+1.87vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.45-4.04vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University1.23-0.59vs Predicted
-
15University of Hawaii1.53-2.34vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University2.17-5.73vs Predicted
-
17Webb Institute1.69-4.71vs Predicted
-
18University of Southern California1.47-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.28University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
5.0Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
-
7.23Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.98Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
7.69Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
8.75Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.86Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.5University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
11.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
-
13.87University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.96Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
-
13.41Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
-
12.66University of Hawaii1.530.0%1st Place
-
10.27Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
-
12.29Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
-
12.74University of Southern California1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| James Paul | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 9.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 25.4% |
| Kelly Holthus | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 20.2% |
| Trey Summers | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.1% |
| Luke Harris | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.