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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.66+6.46vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.36vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+3.59vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.03vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.99+0.91vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.45+2.04vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.51+0.73vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.23+4.78vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.17+0.43vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-3.30vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.69+0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.53-0.54vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.50-5.41vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California1.47-2.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.99-8.99vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-5.05vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.27-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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6.91Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.04Tulane University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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13.78Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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10.43Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.45Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Hawaii1.530.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Southern California1.470.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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13.41University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Holthus | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 21.6% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Payne Donaldson | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 12.6% |
| Trey Summers | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% |
| James Paul | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Luke Harris | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 14.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.