← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+10.95vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.82+5.79vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College2.50+6.12vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.79+3.59vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.99+1.91vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.99+0.98vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.54-1.95vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami2.66+0.14vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.51-0.20vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.23-3.75vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University1.23+2.80vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.45-2.57vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-5.03vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii1.53-1.63vs Predicted
-
15Jacksonville University2.17-4.87vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California1.47-3.00vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida1.27-3.26vs Predicted
-
18Webb Institute1.69-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.79Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
9.12Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.59Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
-
6.91U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.98Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.05Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
8.14University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
-
8.8Fordham University2.510.0%1st Place
-
6.25University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
13.8Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.43Tulane University2.450.0%1st Place
-
7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
-
12.37University of Hawaii1.530.0%1st Place
-
10.13Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
-
13.0University of Southern California1.470.0%1st Place
-
13.74University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
-
11.96Webb Institute1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| James Paul | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Smith | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.1% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 24.3% |
| Kelly Holthus | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Trey Summers | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.7% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Luke Harris | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 22.2% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.