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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+8.06vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.07+4.66vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.64+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.38+5.03vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+4.47vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+4.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-1.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.42vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.35+0.23vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-2.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.56vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.91-0.74vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94+1.04vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.58vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.39-9.62vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.13-2.26vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.48-4.40vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.12-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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4.78Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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5.98Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.25Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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11.26Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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14.04Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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5.38Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.74University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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12.6University of Southern California1.480.0%1st Place
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15.99Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Matthew King | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 17.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 13.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 8.0% |
| Grace Bray | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.