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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+8.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+5.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+4.48vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.07+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.38+2.09vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.64-3.38vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.48+3.50vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.13+2.71vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-4.66vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.94+1.06vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.35-4.96vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-4.90vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.45-7.09vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.91-5.92vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.12-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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5.55Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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4.62Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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12.5University of Southern California1.480.0%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.71University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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7.34Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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14.06Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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8.91Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.08Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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16.0Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.1% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 14.9% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 21.0% | 17.9% |
| Jacob Zils | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Grace Bray | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.