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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+6.44vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.07+2.30vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+2.79vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.50+2.54vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+7.72vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73-0.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-0.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.43-2.42vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.12vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.85vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-3.72vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.70-6.22vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-4.02vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.05-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74Brown University1.9912.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston University1.016.0%1st Place
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5.3College of Charleston2.0712.9%1st Place
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6.79Old Dominion University1.598.6%1st Place
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7.54Fordham University1.507.0%1st Place
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13.72Maine Maritime Academy-0.330.8%1st Place
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6.9Tulane University1.739.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.3%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University1.515.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University1.436.3%1st Place
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11.12SUNY Maritime College0.412.2%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University1.185.0%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.814.5%1st Place
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7.78Yale University1.705.9%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University0.973.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Rhode Island1.054.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 49.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Jed Lory | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 14.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Emma Wang | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Alex Adams | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 12.0% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.