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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+2.81vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.15+1.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.16-0.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+0.50vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.29-0.70vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43-2.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.56-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.68-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Boston University3.000.2%1st Place
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3.62Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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3.61Yale University3.160.2%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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5.3Boston College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.95Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.8Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 15.4% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 18.3% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Urska Kosir | 19.0% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| William Simon | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 25.5% |
| Christopher Remeika | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 20.5% |
| Martin McDonald | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 17.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 13.9% |
| Michael Sturges | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.