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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+5.99vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+7.14vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+4.77vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+1.24vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.91+5.65vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.64-1.57vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67+0.79vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.54+0.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.55-0.86vs Predicted
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101.91+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.42vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.27-2.29vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.35-4.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.13-1.47vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.48-3.49vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University0.94-2.75vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.44-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Hawaii2.380.0%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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5.24Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.65Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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4.43Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.14U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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11.01.910.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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8.9Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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13.53University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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12.51University of Southern California1.480.0%1st Place
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14.25Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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15.33Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Justin Callahan | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.5% |
| Matthew King | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 22.1% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.