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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.64vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.38vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.40vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+3.75vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.27+4.33vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.91+4.80vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.72+0.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.35+0.98vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94-2.34vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.13+3.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-2.44vs Predicted
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121.91-0.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.55-4.84vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.54-6.05vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University0.94-0.88vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California1.48-3.52vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.38-7.97vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.44-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.38Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Miami2.270.0%1st Place
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10.8Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.77University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.091.910.0%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy2.550.1%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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14.12Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Southern California1.480.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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15.34Northwestern University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 16.2% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Byrd | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lee | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew King | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 20.8% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Erik Anderson | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 17.5% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.